Why not to Bet on the NCAA Champion Before the Season

As we saw from the 2012 NCAA Tournament, it can be a bit unpredictable.  Some of the popular choices to make a run at the Championship game were eliminated early and often, and this included a pair of number two seeds in the Duke Blue Devils and the Missouri Tigers who went down to 15 seeds in the first round in Lehigh and Norfolk State.

Now, that’s not to say that Duke and Missouri were incredibly popular bets to win the tournament (Missouri got some love though), but you can see how quickly things can change for teams.  Injuries, suspensions, and simply just not showing up can all affect things, which is why you need to go through the NCAA regular season to see who the real contenders are.  Missouri seemed like a serious contender at the time, but they are one of those “just didn’t show up” teams.  Today we are going to take a look at these reasons as to why you should not bet on the NCAA Tournament winner before the season.

1. Suspensions Come and Go

Players being ruled ineligible is one huge headache, especially if they are on the team that you projected to win it all before the year.  Sure, that team may have been a serious contender when you placed that bet, and especially with that specific player who was ruled ineligible, but without that one player it is a completely different team all around.  You can’t predict a suspension, but that doesn’t mean you can’t wait it out to see if you can avoid being hit with it before betting on the NCAA Basketball Championship.

2. Injuries Play a Role

As far as injuries go, you don’t want to have just placed a bet before the year, only to see a player tear their ACL or suffer another serious injury that keeps them out the remainder of the season.  It’s a tough blow for the team and one that will affect the moving forward and make a team who was originally a serious contender, a team who will be fighting for a tournament appearance instead.

3. Teams Projected in the Middle of Big Conferences

You’ll find that quite often there is a team or two who will be projected to be in the middle of one of those big conferences like the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), and the Big East who typically just comes out of nowhere.  It’s always tough to project which team this will be, but you typically find out when we get near the home stretch of the season.  Sometimes it may even take until the conference tournaments happen for this team to come out of nowhere, but when they do they typically take the NCAA Tournament by storm, and can cause some serious issues for sports bettors out there who get their action in too early in the season!

Obviously it can be tough to decide when to get that futures bet in on the NCAA Tournament, but just make sure that you have a good amount of info on each team before placing your bets!